Alternative Premier League table after 20 games, based on expected goals
The festive fixtures are almost over and the Premier League has certainly been shaken up.Liverpool are now favourites to win the title after stumbles from Tottenham and Manchester City, and the Reds’ own brilliant display against Arsenal.Romelu Lukaku scores against Bournemouth10
Romelu Lukaku scores against Bournemouth
City did at least get back on track by beating Southampton but Spurs’ loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers showed just how tired they are with several players still out injured.Manchester United look back in the hunt for a top four spot as Ole Gunnar Solskjaer continued his brilliant run of games to start his interim tenure with a 4-1 victory over Bournemouth.Raul Jimenez helped Wolves to a famous win at Wembley10
Raul Jimenez helped Wolves to a famous win at Wembley
And in the bottom half of the table there were vital wins for Fulham and Cardiff City.But how has the weekends action changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
20. Huddersfield Town Real position = 20Real points = 10 | Expected points = 16.57David Wagner’s team are struggling for results and performances10
David Wagner’s team are struggling for results and performances
19.Burnley Real position = 18Real points = 15 | Expected points = 16.8618. Newcastle United Real position = 15Real points = 18 | Expected points = 17.4217. Fulham Real position = 19Real points = 14 | Expected points = 18.74Aleksandar Mitrovic netted his eighth goal of the season to earn Fulham a crucial win over Huddersfield10
Aleksandar Mitrovic netted his eighth goal of the season to earn Fulham a crucial win over Huddersfield
16. Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 13Real points = 25 | Expected points = 20.4515. Cardiff City Real position = 16Real points = 18 | Expected points = 20.5514.Southampton Real position = 17Real points = 15 | Expected points = 22.9913.West Ham Real position = 11Real points = 27 | Expected points = 23.70Felipe Anderson is doing all he can to fire West Ham up the Premier League tableGetty Images10
Felipe Anderson is doing all he can to fire West Ham up the Premier League table
12. Crystal Palace Real position = 14Real points = 19 | Expected points = 24.9211.Bournemouth Real position = 12Real points = 26 | Expected points = 25.5710. Everton Real position = 10Real points = 27 | Expected points = 25.849. Leicester City Real position = 8Real points = 28 | Expected points = 28.738. Arsenal Real position = 5Real points = 38 | Expected points = 29.62Arsenal manager Unai Emery10
Arsenal manager Unai Emery
7. Watford Real position = 9Real points = 28 | Expected points = 30.146. Manchester United Real position = 6Real points = 35 | Expected points = 30.85Paul Pogba has been in unstoppable form10
Paul Pogba has been in unstoppable form
5.Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 7Real points = 29 | Expected points = 33.144. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 3Real points = 45 | Expected points = 34.733.Chelsea Real position = 4Real points = 43 | Expected points = 41.05Chelsea manager Maurizio Sarri10
Chelsea manager Maurizio Sarri
2.Liverpool Real position = 1Real points = 54 | Expected points = 45.53Liverpool are looking like Premier League champions based on current performances10
Liverpool are looking like Premier League champions based on current performances
1. Manchester City Real position = 2Real points = 47 | Expected points = 46.62Pep Guardiola talks with his coaching staff10
Pep Guardiola talks with his coaching staff

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Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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